IPRIS

North and South Sudan: what lies ahead?

José Manuel Correia

There is a plethora of outstanding issues that need to be settled in the next few months, in the long term it is of paramount importance to guarantee peaceful cohabitation between north and south Sudan. Attention must also be paid to the promotion of stability in the sub-region considering the fact that Sudan is seen as a strategic interest to Egypt and that its former President Hosni Mubarak has just resigned from office. In the meantime, a strong European Union and United Nations engagement is expected after July 2011, especially to support capacity and institutional building in South Sudan.

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Referendum in a powder keg: independence for South Sudan

Vasco Martins

An independent South Sudan would not bring about a unified nation-state but rather a conglomerate of different ethnic groups who -- each in their own way -- associate with a loose definition of South Sudan statehood and society. Hence, nothing guarantees that these ethnic groups can be mobilized to secede from South Sudan and create yet another new state, especially since the southern population hopes that secession will bring about a quick improvement in the quality of life -- an expectation present in most secessionist regions, but one the very young and inexperienced South Sudanese government will find impossible to meet.

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