IPRIS

The Portuguese-speaking African countries and regime change in Libya

Paulo Gorjão

As far as the Portuguese-speaking African countries are concerned, Angola's foreign policy will benefit from the Libyan regime change, Cape Verde and Mozambique will be able to live with it, while Guinea-Bissau and São Tomé and Príncipe will inevitably end up paying the bill.

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By Paulo Gorjão

South African President Jacob Zuma agreed that a political solution similar to that of South Sudan was needed to bring about political stability in Côte d'Ivoire (Africa Confidential, 21 January 2011).

This is a new development, as far as I am aware, at least at this stage. Zuma is the first one, at this point, to raise this issue. He is isolated, or his views are shared by other important players? Who is in favor of breaking up Côte d'Ivoire? South Africa, it seems. But what about Angola and Nigeria? And Alassane Outtara, as well as Laurent Gbagbo, what do they think about it?

More importantly, is it a real solution to Côte d'Ivoire's problems? Or are we creating new ones?

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You also may wish to read:

Vasco Martins, "Côte d'Ivoire: a series of damaging events?" (IPRIS Viewpoints, No. 33, January 2011).

Paulo Gorjão, "Côte d'Ivoire: A test tube for Angola's regional policy?" (IPRIS Viewpoints, No. 29, December 2010).

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