IPRIS

By Paulo Gorjão

South African President Jacob Zuma agreed that a political solution similar to that of South Sudan was needed to bring about political stability in Côte d'Ivoire (Africa Confidential, 21 January 2011).

This is a new development, as far as I am aware, at least at this stage. Zuma is the first one, at this point, to raise this issue. He is isolated, or his views are shared by other important players? Who is in favor of breaking up Côte d'Ivoire? South Africa, it seems. But what about Angola and Nigeria? And Alassane Outtara, as well as Laurent Gbagbo, what do they think about it?

More importantly, is it a real solution to Côte d'Ivoire's problems? Or are we creating new ones?

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You also may wish to read:

Vasco Martins, "Côte d'Ivoire: a series of damaging events?" (IPRIS Viewpoints, No. 33, January 2011).

Paulo Gorjão, "Côte d'Ivoire: A test tube for Angola's regional policy?" (IPRIS Viewpoints, No. 29, December 2010).

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Côte d’Ivoire: a series of damaging events?

Vasco Martins

The elected President of Côte d'Ivoire has been put in a powerless position, only able to wave his head in agreement with the international community but unable to act in any way due to his political dependency on ECOWAS and the 10.000 UN peacekeepers stationed in the country, among other reasons to preserve his physical integrity. This situation might have nefarious consequences on his mandate in case Gbagbo refuses to leave the country and remains as a political actor.

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Côte d'Ivoire: A test tube for Angola's regional policy?

Paulo Gorjão

Angola may come to play a relevant backstage role here, where Mbeki failed under the limelight. The million-dollar question is how to devise a successful exit strategy. By chance, the current crisis in Côte d'Ivoire might become a test of Angola's capacity to safeguard and promote its regional interests.

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