IPRIS

Table of Contents:
Vasco Martins, "Angola reopening the African window"
Pedro Seabra, "Dilma's Brazil and South America: a lackluster start?"
Ken Westmoreland, "Strengthening Portugal's soft diplomacy"
Timeline of Events

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Paulo Gorjão

Sendo improvável que surja uma alternativa de peso ao nome de Barack Obama entre os democratas, as atenções estão viradas para o campo republicano, em que a incerteza é ainda muito grande quanto ao candidato que será escolhido para disputar as eleições presidenciais norte-americanas de 2012.

A senadora Republicana do Minnesota, Michele Bachmann, aproveitou o recente debate presidencial para anunciar a sua candidatura, o que lhe assegurou, como era previsível, os seus 15 minutos de fama. Todavia, perante a vantagem de Mitt Romney, Bachmann tem pela frente uma missão quase impossível: por um lado, tem de mostrar que é uma alternativa credível a Romney; e, por outro, tem de se afirmar como a candidata que poderá conseguir derrotar Obama.

Trata-se de dois objectivos que impõem posicionamentos diferentes e que condicionam a sua capacidade de angariar o financiamento de que a sua campanha necessita para ter viabilidade. Bachmann terá de fazer uma autêntica quadratura do círculo para ter êxito. Sendo improvável que o consiga, ficam em todo o caso lançadas as sementes a pensar nas eleições presidenciais de 2016.

(Artigo publicado hoje no Diário Económico.)

The Portuguese-speaking African countries and regime change in Libya

Paulo Gorjão

As far as the Portuguese-speaking African countries are concerned, Angola's foreign policy will benefit from the Libyan regime change, Cape Verde and Mozambique will be able to live with it, while Guinea-Bissau and São Tomé and Príncipe will inevitably end up paying the bill.

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Brazil and the 'Argentinean nuance' revisited

Pedro Seabra

Five months later it is safe to say that the bilateral honeymoon period between Argentina and Brazil is clearly over. The catalyst for such a turnaround hardly comes as a surprise: much like in the past, trade issues, once again take central stage. Indeed, the latest events replicate an all too familiar pattern in modern Brazilian-Argentinean relations.

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Regional parliaments in Southern Africa: why SADC's project is doomed to fail

Vasco Martins

In a region where conflict still exists, peace is often broken by localized power struggles and regimes are nothing but a patchwork of most political systems that have been attempted by mankind, the imposition of a SADC parliament with the ability to make states endorse its decisions is a project doomed to fail.

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Portugal and Venezuela: continuity in times of change?

Paulo Gorjão

A future government of PSD/CDS-PP, in substance, is likely to maintain the approach taken by the previous government of the Socialist Party, in part because it will continue the focus of the previous government on economic diplomacy, as well as its strategy to guarantee new energy suppliers. Under normal circumstances, the goal of deepening the relationship with Venezuela will continue with the new government, perhaps with some nuances of a political nature.

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